AIPAC faces test of its power in Illinois primary

WASHINGTON (AP) — A crowded primary season in Illinois is shaping up as the next test for the American Israel Public Affairs Committee, a powerful advocacy organization that's generating fresh turmoil over the Democratic Party's relationship to Israel and the role of undisclosed campaign cash in this year's midterm elections. AIPAC, which was founded decades ago to lobby for U.S. support for Israel, has reserved at least $1.9 million in advertisements through its super PAC in the race to replace Rep. Danny Davis, a veteran politician who is retiring. The organization hopes to boost Melissa Conyears-Ervin, the city treasurer in Chicago, to victory over a dozen other candidates in the March 17 primary. Other organizations that critics believe are tied to AIPAC are also spending heavily in Illinois, a source of bitterness and recriminations in a state already known for its bare knuckled brand of politics. The aggressive spending comes after AIPAC put almost $2 million into a recent Democratic primary for a special election in New Jersey, an effort that's widely considered to have backfired. AIPAC targeted Tom Malinowski, a former congressman who narrowly lost to progressive candidate Analilia Mejia — who has been outspoken in criticism of Israel. But AIPAC appears undaunted by the experience, despite an outpouring of criticism from across the political spectrum. "We expect to be involved in dozens of races both in primaries and general elections this cycle," said Patrick Dorton, a spokesman for AIPAC's affiliated super PAC, the United Democracy Project, or UDP. AIPAC has more urgently pursued its mission as Democratic skepticism and even hostility toward the U.S.-Israel relationship increases because of the war in Gaza, jeopardizing traditional bipartisan support for military assistance to a historic ally. But the group's assertive interventions in this year's primaries, which are expected to expand in the months to come, also risk further fracturing the party and eroding any remaining goodwill. AIPAC has been dividing line in Illinois primary Campaign finance laws involving super PACs make it nearly impossible to ascertain who is behind much of the money being spent in Illinois. Although UDP is open about its affiliation, recently created groups like Elect Chicago Women and Affordable Chicago Now haven't yet been required to disclose the sources of their money. Neither group is obligated to disclose its funding until after the Illinois' primary. Critics suspect they're conduits for AIPAC money, and AIPAC has declined to say whether there's any connection. UDP, Elect Chicago Women and Affordable Chicago Now are three of the top four spenders on advertisements in House races so far, with almost $11 million total, and the majority going to Illinois. Financial numbers are drawn from AdImpact, a nonpartisan ad-tracking service. None of the organizations mention Israel in their campaign messaging, a strategy that AIPAC-affiliated groups have used in the past as well. For example, the United Democracy Project assailed Malinowski in New Jersey as sympathetic to President Donald Trump's deportation efforts, undermining him with liberal voters. In Illinois, it is promoting Conyears-Ervin to replace Davis in the 7th congressional district by saying she will fight to lower costs and protect healthcare. The strategy has contributed to speculation and angst about AIPAC's influence in politics. Supporters of Israel accuse critics of using antisemitic tropes about dual loyalty, and others say the focus on AIPAC is misplaced. "I think the folks who are talking the most about AIPAC are seeking to demonize Israel and create a break in the U.S.-Israel relationship," said Rep. Brad Schneider, a Democrat who represents Illinois' 10th district. "The problem is Citizens United and the decision to allow dark money," said Schneider, the co-chair of the Congressional Jewish Caucus. "The problem is the rules. Let's fix the rules." Candidates have been criticizing each other for their perceived willingness to accept help from AIPAC. Four progressive candidates vying for different Illinois congressional seats jointly condemned the organization's role in the state's primaries during a press conference in February. Another candidate is selling shirts on her website with anti-AIPAC messaging. AIPAC has increased its campaign spending in recent years Malinowski is still raw over his experience as AIPAC's target in New Jersey, and he said that he won't support any candidates backed by the organization this year. He described himself as pro-Israel even though he opposed unconditional assistance for the country, a stance that drew AIPAC's ire. "Obviously, we were going to talk about Israel and Gaza in the campaign because many voters would be asking questions about it," Malinowski said. "But I wanted those discussions to be about the substance, not colored by baggage of endorsements from groups that are controversial now." AIPAC said in a statement that Mejia's success in the primary was "an anticipated possibility," suggesting they had no regrets that their role could have helped pave the way for a candidate who has described Israel's actions in Gaza as genocide. Although AIPAC has always been politically active, it began spending directly on campaigns during the 2022 midterms. Since then, it has spent more than $221 million through its traditional PAC and its super PAC, according to Federal Election Commission filings between December 2021 and January 2026. The super PAC has mostly focused on Democratic primaries. In the 2022 and 2024 cycles, UDP spent at least $1 million supporting or opposing 18 candidates, 16 of whom were Democrats. Many of those candidates were running in open races. Traditional PACs are allowed to raise and donate up to $5,000 per candidate per election, and may coordinate directly with campaigns. Super PACs don't have fundraising or spending limits but are not allowed to make direct or in-kind contributions to candidates nor coordinate communications. In 2024, UDP's biggest investments were made in support of centrist challengers to progressive incumbents. It spent more than $13 million in the 2024 Democratic primary in New York's 16th District, in which current Rep. George Latimer defeated former Rep. Jamaal Bowman. It also spent $8.5 million opposing former Rep. Cori Bush, who lost her primary to Rep. Wesley Bell.